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NZ Ministry of Education
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Policy & analysis
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Job Description


Forecasting and Modelling Team - Evidence, Data and Knowledge

 Fixed Term full time position based in Wellington

About us

At the Ministry of Education, our people shape an education system that delivers equitable and excellent outcomes.


About our group

Evidence, Data and Knowledge's (EDK) purpose is to inform educational policy and practice with evidence.  We provide high quality in-depth data and information to our customers whilst proactively providing insights and building capability and knowledge in the use of evidence.  Over the past year we have undergone a marked change in the way we work by increasing our efficiency, while focusing on high end value-add services, achieving value for money, and becoming leaders in our area of expertise.

This is a great opportunity to join our new and exciting group.


About the role

The Forecasting & Modelling team is responsible for analysis that supports the Ministry's Early Learning and Schooling policy and operational functions. The team works across the organisation to promote the effective use of evidence, including by:

  1. Delivering high quality forecasts of future public expenditure for large components of the $11.6 billion that the government invests annually in the schooling and early childhood education system;
  2. Working with colleagues across the Ministry of Education and beyond on cutting-edge policy development, utilising our expertise in policy costing and impact analysis; and
  3. Undertaking operational rate-setting and eligibility calculations, to ensure that schools and early childhood education services are appropriately funded.

We are currently looking for an enthusiastic Analyst to join our team for the coming year.


About You

To be successful in this role you will be a highly-motivated learner who relishes a challenge and the opportunity to make an impact.  You will have the opportunity to use your analytical instincts and affinity for data analysis techniques across a broad and ever-changing work programme, requiring you to develop deep knowledge of subject areas and then apply this knowledge flexibly as the operating environment and strategic priorities evolve.  This role would be a great fit for an optimistic team player, who enjoys learning and problem-solving to develop fit-for-purpose modelling solutions.


You will have:

  • A tertiary qualification in an area that involves data manipulation and analysis, such as economics, finance, mathematics, or science.
  • A penchant for interrogating evidence and data and deriving meaning.
  • A desire to be close to the action, welcoming the responsibility that comes with providing analysis that informs decisions critical to the future of the education system.
  • An ability to think conceptually and translate new and emerging ideas into evidence-based quantitative analysis of financial and non-financial impacts.
  • An eye for detail, taking pride in the accuracy of your work and offering robust and constructive peer review to colleagues.
  • An affinity for working collaboratively with internal customers and other stakeholders to determine needs, obtain information, develop approaches and communicate results.
  • Technical skills, such as advanced proficiency in Microsoft Excel, and experience with analysis, database, or query products such as SAS, SQL or R, would be an advantage.
  • Professional experience in a relevant discipline such as policy modelling, rate-setting, forecasting, or data extraction, manipulation and reporting is not a pre-requisite, but would be an advantage.


You will be expected to:

  • Follow established methods for forecasting expenditure and calculating funding rates and other information that enables the Ministry to resource schools and early childhood education services.  Contribute to the continuous improvement of these processes.
  • Contribute to the design of analytical frameworks and practical methodologies to estimate the financial and non-financial impacts of policy initiatives.
  • Translate complex models and insights into accessible messages for customers and senior leaders to ensure appropriate interpretation, achieve buy-in, and influence decision-makers.
  • Develop strong working relationships with members of the team, the broader EDK group, and the policy, operational and finance arms of the Ministry.  Leverage off these relationships and a collaborative working style to inform and encourage evidence-based decision-making.


This is a fixed-term position, through to December 2019, based in Wellington.    We are open to considering secondment arrangements for current employees of government agencies.

The Ministry is an equal opportunities employer.

If you'd like to bring your skills to a rewarding role within an organisation that's continuously reaching goals and striving for a better future for New Zealand, we'd love to hear from you. 

Please have your academic transcript ready with your application.


Please apply online or if you would like further information please email

Applications close on 14 December 2018.

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