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Senior Analyst

NZ Ministry of Education
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Policy & analysis
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Job Description

Senior Analyst

Forecasting and Modelling Team - Evidence, Data and Knowledge

 One fixed term full time position based in Wellington

About us

At the Ministry of Education, our people shape an education system that delivers equitable and excellent outcomes.


About our group

Evidence, Data and Knowledge's (EDK) purpose is to inform educational policy and practice with evidence.  We provide high quality in-depth data and information to our customers whilst proactively providing insights and building capability and knowledge in the use of evidence.  Over the past year we have undergone a marked change in the way we work by increasing our efficiency, while focusing on high end value-add services, achieving value for money, and becoming leaders in our area of expertise.

This is a great opportunity to join our new and exciting group.


About the role

The Forecasting & Modelling team is responsible for analysis that supports the Ministry's Early Learning and Schooling policy and operational functions. The team works across the organisation to promote the effective use of evidence, including by:

  1. Delivering high quality forecasts of future public expenditure for large components of the $11.6 billion that the government invests annually in the schooling and early childhood education system;
  2. Working with colleagues across the Ministry of Education and beyond on cutting-edge policy development, utilising our expertise in policy costing and impact analysis; and
  3. Undertaking operational rate-setting and eligibility calculations, to ensure that schools and early childhood education services are appropriately funded.

We are currently looking to boost our capacity in the exciting and highly relevant area of education workforce analysis.  We are looking for an enthusiastic Senior Analyst to join our team for the coming year.  This role will be focused on, but not limited to, analysing the dynamics of the education workforce.  Key responsibilities will potentially include:

  1. Developing, improving and using the Ministry's datasets and models relating to the education workforce;
  2. Modelling the costs and impacts of potential policies relating to the education workforce;
  3. Forecasting the demand for, and supply of, teachers and other education professionals; and
  4. Interrogating data to derive new insights into the education workforce, and communicating these insights to internal stakeholders, Ministers and the public through published reports and other mediums.


About You

To be successful in this role you will be a highly-motivated learner who relishes a challenge and the opportunity to make an impact.  You will have the opportunity to use your mastery of data analysis techniques in a vital area of education system policy and operations.  This will require you to develop deep knowledge of the subject area and available data, and then apply this knowledge flexibly as the operating environment and strategic priorities evolve.  This role would be a great fit for an optimistic team player, who enjoys learning and problem-solving to develop fit-for-purpose modelling solutions and new insights that shift people's thinking.


You will have:

  • A desire to be close to the action, welcoming the responsibility that comes with providing analysis that informs decisions critical to the future of the education system.
  • A demonstrated ability to think conceptually and translate new and emerging ideas into evidence-based quantitative analysis of impacts.
  • An eye for detail, taking pride in the accuracy of your work and offering robust and constructive peer review to colleagues.
  • Proven technical skills, including advanced proficiency in Microsoft Excel and SAS.
  • An affinity for working collaboratively with team members, internal customers and other stakeholders to determine needs, obtain information, develop approaches and communicate results.
  • The ability to communicate complex concepts and evidence to a variety of audiences, both in writing and verbally.
  • Experience in a relevant discipline such as policy modelling, forecasting, quantitative research, or data extraction, manipulation and reporting would be an advantage.


You will be able to:

  • Formulate research questions and interrogate data and other sources of evidence to develop robust conclusions.
  • Translate complex models and insights into accessible messages for customers and senior leaders to ensure appropriate interpretation, achieve buy-in, and influence decision-makers.
  • Design analytical frameworks and practical methodologies to estimate the financial and non-financial impacts of policy initiatives.
  • Drive the continuous improvement of forecasting through developing a deep understanding of the drivers underpinning change, maintaining an awareness of policy development and trends in the external environment, and experimenting with new technical possibilities.
  • Develop strong working relationships with members of the team, the broader EDK group, and the policy and operational arms of the Ministry.  Leverage off these relationships and a collaborative working style to inform and encourage evidence-based decision-making.


This is a fixed-term position, through to December 2019, based in Wellington.  We are open to considering secondment arrangements for current employees of government agencies.

The Ministry is an equal opportunities employer.

If you'd like to bring your skills to a rewarding role within an organisation that's continuously reaching goals and striving for a better future for New Zealand, we'd love to hear from you. 


Please apply online or if you would like further information please email


Applications close on 14th December.

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