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Senior Modelling and Forecasting Analyst

NZ Ministry of Education
Job Category:
Policy & analysis
Job Type:
Ongoing - Full Time
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Closing Date:
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Job Description

Senior. Modelling and Forecasting Analyst

Permanent, Full-time role

Help shape the future of Education

At the Ministry of Education, we work together to shape an education system that delivers equitable and excellent outcomes.

Our organisation is made up of more than 3,000 talented and committed people around New Zealand, from a wide range of backgrounds and cultures.

While we work in different groups and on different things, we all strive every day to make the biggest difference we can for. every child, young person and adult student in our education system.

About our group and team

GAVC - Graduate Achievement Vocations and Careers 

We lead strategy, policy and performance analysis for. Tertiary and International sectors to support a productive, inclusive economy and international linkages. We develop policy about vocational skills, access pathways, international education and student financial support. We manage the Ministry's international engagements and cooperation agreements.

This position sits in the Tertiary Sector. Performance Analysis team within the GAVC Group. This team aims to ensure that tertiary education achievement and system performance is backed by evidence, and that policy and strategy decisions are made using the best possible evidence. The team is committed to making tertiary data and high level analysis available as soon as possible after it has been received. This data and more in depth analysis is released on the Ministry's Education Counts website.

About this role

The Senior. Modelling and Forecasting Analyst uses their technical expertise to forecast the governments' expenditure on Student Loans and Student Allowances for. the Ministry of Social Development and then monitor. the accuracy of these forecasts.

The role also undertakes modelling needed for. the development and costing of Student Support changes and initiatives. The role goes beyond the Student Support area providing costing and modelling advice for. a range of tertiary initiatives and forecasting for. wider tertiary education demand.

About you

We're looking for. someone that loves numbers and using them to solve problems. While much of this will be about predicting the future - in an analytical way, it also involves working out how much particular policies or. initiatives might cost in terms of student loans or. allowances. You will be spending time reducing ambiguity so that costs can be modelled.

To be successful in the role, you'll be working collaboratively with key internal and a number of external stakeholders, developing relationships at senior. levels. Your forecasts will impact on how students and programmes are funded over the coming years. In time you will become an expert on matters to do with funding student loans and student allowances.

You will also offer:

  • high level mathematical skills - while words matter numbers are even more important in this position
  • advanced Excel skills to use with our forecasting model
  • medium to advanced SAS or. similar query language skills for. work on linked data
  • the ability to understand and communicate with our policy colleagues
  • the ability to understand and apply the principles of Te Tiriti o Waitangi and tangatawhenuatanga.

You will be part of a team of 12, all busy using multiple and advanced techniques to further explore tertiary education and other data. They are a generous bunch, very happy to share their knowledge and skills making the team an excellent environment to further develop your existing skills.

Are you ready to make a difference?

While this is a full-time, permanent job based in Central Wellington we always try to match the hours of work (start and finish times) to suit the analyst and the team. Most team members have children which means we work in a family friendly environment.

We welcome candidates from diverse backgrounds, including Māori, Pacific and those with disabilities, who will enrich our understanding of the education system.

As a government agency, the Ministry is committed to keeping to the Treaty of Waitangi's guiding principles in our work for. and with Māori students, their whānau, hapū and iwi.

There is more information in the position description attached, please take a look and if this opportunity sounds like you, please apply now using the ‘apply online' button.

For. further information, please contact Jennifer Scott at 04 463 8709 or. by email


Applications close Friday 18 October.

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